All posts tagged Ebola: A Global Health Challenge

Podcast Episode 2: Ebola — A Global Health Challenge

Today, Wikistrat’s Senior Analyst Prof. Randy Cheek sits down with Geostrategy Radio to discuss insights from Wikistrat’s “Ebola: A Global Health Challenge” simulation.

West Africa’s Ebola epidemic could have a silver lining if global leaders have the wisdom and courage to act. This is a strategic opportunity to replace the existing reactive, ad hoc global health response system with a more proactive, targeted response to outbreaks of infectious disease.

In this episode of Wikistrat’s Geostrategy Radio podcast, Prof. Cheek discusses this and other insights from the recently-conducted “Ebola: A Global Health Challenge” simulation.

Professor Randy Cheek is the former Director for Central Africa at the Africa Bureau of the Department of Defense. He is an expert on African security and a Wikistrat Senior Analyst.

Click here to access the summary report from the “Ebola: A Global Health Challenge” simulation.

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Ebola: A Global Health Challenge: Wikistrat Report

EGHC report cover

As the Ebola virus reaches Europe and North America, Wikistrat looks at the challenge posed by the epidemic to health policy globally. A report proposing four future pathways for the disease, and how the global public health system manages it, is released today.

Since a major outbreak of the Ebola virus disease was first reported in Guinea in March 2014, an epidemic has spread across West Africa. Already, this is the worst Ebola outbreak in recorded history. The disease is no longer contained to the region: a Saudi Arabian man traveling home from Sierra Leone is believed to have died of Ebola in early August and several Americans are treated for the disease in the United States. There is no known cure, although one American doctor diagnosed with the virus was found Ebola-free after taking experimental drugs in August.

While there is widespread concern about the spread of the disease, there are arguments against Ebola becoming a pandemic. The virus is not airborne and cannot survive outside the body for long. Symptoms become apparent quickly and patients typically die before infecting more than one or two others.

These realities have done little to quell the panic. Saudi Arabia has stopped issuing visas to Muslim pilgrims from West Africa. British Airways has suspended all flights to and from both Liberia and Sierra Leone. Western governments have advised their citizens to avoid the region. However, civil unrest, the absence of adequate medical services and low trust in both authority and foreign aid workers might pose the biggest risk. Read More →

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Top Four Possible Global Impacts of the Ebola Outbreak

Wikistrat recently concluded a crowdsourced strategic simulation to study the implications of the Ebola virus outbreak. The infographic released today shows the top four possible global impacts of the disease, from Africa to China to Europe to the United States.

EGHC infographic

Click here or on the image above to see the full version.

For more information about Wikistrat and for access to the full simulation archive, contact [email protected]

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New Wikistrat Simulation: Ebola: A Global Health Challenge

EGHC banner

An outbreak of the Ebola virus in West Africa has given rise to fears of a pandemic. But despite the panic, there might be opportunities as well. The outbreak could be a wake-up call for the region and accelerate the expansion of private health care infrastructure there.

Ebola spread globe

This week, Wikistrat launches a new crowdsourced simulation to study the challenge posed by the Ebola virus outbreak to health policy globally. The simulation allows analysts to propose both positive and negative outcomes within comprehensive, competing scenario pathways of the disease’s spread and termination.

Since a major outbreak of the Ebola virus disease was first reported in Guinea in March 2014, an epidemic has spread across West Africa. This already marks the worst Ebola outbreak in recorded history. The disease is no longer contained to the region: A Saudi Arabian man traveling home from Sierra Leone is believed to have died of Ebola in early August. Two American aid workers were infected in Liberia.

While the spread of the epidemic raises the prospect of countries shutting their borders and fending off immigrants, there are arguments against Ebola becoming a true pandemic. The virus is not airborne and cannot survive outside the body for long. Symptoms show relatively quickly and patients typically die before infecting more than one or two others.

Fears of a pandemic nevertheless abound. Saudi Arabia has stopped issuing visas to Muslim pilgrims from West Africa. British Airways this month suspended all flights to and from Liberia and Sierra Leone — while most Western governments have advised their citizens to avoid the region. Civil unrest, the absence of adequate medical services and low trust in both authority and foreign aid workers might yet pose the biggest risk.

WS AnalystsAre you interested in participating in simulations like these? Apply for membership to the analytic community here.

Stay tuned to Wikistrat’s Facebook and Twitter channels for updates and insights from this simulation!

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