As 2025 unfolds, global risks are mounting—from the decline of U.S. leadership to rising economic warfare and AI-driven social challenges. With Trump’s return and fresh geopolitical tensions from Davos, the world faces heightened uncertainty. The ninth annual NYU-Wikistrat report, which crowdsourced insights from 132 analysts across 37 countries, highlights four key risks shaping the year ahead. 

As the debate over Trump’s plan to acquire Greenland intensifies, a recent Wikistrat simulation offers a deeper look at how this geopolitical gamble could unfold. CEO Oren Kesler highlights scenarios from leasing deals to U.S. militarization, noting that an aggressive move could provoke Russia. Will this push reshape Arctic power dynamics or fade as political theater?

Sabotage threats to corporate supply chains are growing, as seen in the Hezbollah-linked pager explosion in Lebanon. Wikistrat CEO Oren Kessler urges stronger due diligence and crisis preparedness, warning, “A supply chain is only as strong as its weakest link.” With covert operations exploiting global commerce, businesses must adapt or risk exposure.

With tensions in the Middle East nearing a boiling point, a potential Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities looms. In a 2022 Wikistrat report that now seems more relevant than ever, 30 leading Iran and Middle East experts explore the downstream consequences of an Israeli military strike on Iran’s nuclear sites.

From power disperses in a post-superpower era to a mental health crisis exacerbated by AI: Prof. Maha Hosain Aziz shares invaluable insights from the annual Wikistrat-New York University simulations. 

In May 2023, Wikistrat partnered with Upwork to run a simulation on the future of work in light of the ever-developing technologies, especially AI. In this, a multidisciplinary crowd of leading experts collaborated to share scenarios and ideas on how flexible workforce models would evolve by 2030.

Since 2017, Wikistrat has been partnering every year with NYU's "Political Risk and Prediction" course to explore various risks to global stability. These include political, geopolitical, economic, and social risks, as well as shock events. Read now about the events that may rock our post-pandemic world by 2025.

Once a year, New York University students collaborate with Wikistrat experts in order to explore the risks to global stability in the coming year. What are the political, geopolitical, economic, and social risks to watch for in 2023? Read their analysis now.

Russia has invested too much prestige in the war for its next leader to end it when they come into power, a team of experts has claimed.

Six months have passed since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Since then, the situation on
the ground evolved into a war of attrition, with no end in sight. At this point, many people
believe that only a dramatic event, such as the death of Russian President Vladimir Putin,
will end the war. But will it?

idoba and Wikistrat have partnered in order to explore what changes and trends will shape the future of work and the workers in the mining industry, their impact, and ways to prepare for them in the upcoming decade.

In light of the nuclear talks in Vienna, Wikistrat ran an interactive simulation with 30 leading Iran and Middle East experts in order to explore how an Israeli military strike on Iran’s nuclear sites would impact five key regional actors: Iran, Saudi Arabia, China, the US, and Russia.

Sandpit Innovation and Wikistrat have combined insights from 90 experts in innovation and disruptive technologies to predict the future of mining in 2030.

Perth-based consulting firm Sandpit Innovation and global crowdsourcing platform Wikistrat published a report in which they explore the mining industry’s future in the age of social awareness.

An Israeli strike against Iran could trigger normalization with Saudi Arabia. But that’s just one part of the far more precarious Middle East such an attack would birth, with China, Russia, and the U.S. forced to respond

A simulation by Wikistrat explored opportunities for Israel-Gulf relations in 2025 following the signing of a peace treaty between Israel and Saudi Arabia.

What will the international implications be if China and the United States continue to adopt extremely tough tones in their confrontation? In an effort to find answers to that question,  Washington-based geo-strategic consulting company Wikistrat held an economic war game simulating a US embargo on high-tech trade and investment in China in 2021 under Donald Trump if he is re-elected for a second term as president of the United States.

A consultancy is trying to out-forecast the world’s intelligence agencies (Financial Times)

According to Wikistrat’s CEO, Oren Kesler, “We continue to see growing demand from clients and consultancy partners alike, all seeking something different. These days, both governments and corporations want to be innovative and more creative in how they interact with vendors. And it just makes more sense to leverage some form of virtual crowdsourcing where talented professionals compete to think creatively about the future and brainstorm solutions"

Three of Wikistrat’s top experts weigh in on the significance of the death in Iraq of one of Iran’s most important military commanders

An interview with U.S. economist and leading China expert David P. Goldman (JNS).

An interview with Rabbi David Rosen, international director of interreligious affairs at the American Jewish Committee (JNS).

Federica Russo, focusing on China's engagement in the global scene and the dynamics which impact corporate boards'action, is a researcher at the consulting firm Wikistrat.

Wikistrat sat down with Hudson Institute senior fellow and former U.S. intelligence officer Michael Pregent to get a deeper insight into U.S. policy options vis-à-vis Iran (JNS)

McKinsey shouldn’t close up shop just yet. But if Wikistrat has its way, the future of geopolitical analysis will belong to the crowd (Fast Company).

Code-named "Deloitte Pixel" the service brings together new entrants in the strategy consulting space, including ex-McKinsey consultants 10EQS, Wikistrat, Topcoder and InCrowd under a global agreement (Financial Review).

Wikistrat asked its “crowd” -- including academics, private sector representatives, former law enforcement agents, and experts studying money laundering schemes and the Russian mafia -- to discuss crime scenarios of the future, and then vote on their likelihood.

The age of individual consultancies providing an end-to-end service is over (Financial Times).