WIKISTRAT IN THE MEDIA
IN THE PRESS
Read the media publications about Wikistrat and our projects.
If Iran's supreme leader falls, the regime won't become a democracy. It will face a choice: isolate like North Korea or open up like China. In an exclusive interview with Brazil's Estadão, Wikistrat CEO Oren Kesler breaks down why a U.S. strike could change Iran's leadership but not the theocracy itself, what both sides really want from the Oman talks, and why Israel would almost certainly join any American military action.
February 11, 2026
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Iran is treating nuclear talks as a lifeline, not a path to resolution. Wikistrat CEO Oren Kesler told Fox News that while both sides want a deal, their red lines remain impossible to bridge: "The talks are going well in the sense that they're happening, but they're not really going anywhere."
February 10, 2026
The road to 2030 is paved with converging risks: a polycentric power shift, democracy in crisis, a fragmenting monetary system, and a looming global tech-lash. NYU Professor Maha Hosain Aziz draws on findings from the 10th Annual NYU Riskathon, a crowdsourced prediction project with Wikistrat that gathered 277 risks identified by 105 analysts across 22 countries.
February 9, 2026
Iran is like a boxer in the 12th round, exhausted and one punch away from collapse. Wikistrat CEO Oren Kesler spoke with Taiwan's Central News Agency about Tehran's existential crisis, warning that any miscalculation to escalate could give the U.S. the perfect justification for a devastating strike that ends the regime.
February 4, 2026
The Middle East battlefield is exposing a technological gap that has Beijing deeply worried, and it could reshape U.S. arms sales to Taiwan. Wikistrat CEO Oren Kesler told Taiwan's Central News Agency that F-35 sales to Taipei are now more likely under Trump, who "wants to see the checks" and isn't afraid of clashing with China.
February 4, 2026
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From data center backlash to agentic AI cyberattacks to an entry-level jobs cliff, 2026 is shaping up as a pivotal year for AI risk. Newsweek highlights four trends to watch, drawing on findings from the 10th Annual NYU Riskathon, a crowdsourced prediction project run in collaboration with Wikistrat.
January 23, 2026
A year before Trump's aggressive push on Greenland made headlines, Wikistrat's scenario report predicted exactly this move. CEO Oren Kesler spoke with Taiwan's Central News Agency about what Washington is really after: locking down the Western Hemisphere before China and Russia can gain a foothold in America's backyard.
January 23, 2026
Trump's push for Greenland has sparked what Wikistrat CEO Oren Kesler calls NATO's "most serious crisis since the post-war period." He spoke with VEJA, Brazil's largest weekly news magazine, about how this unprecedented rift could reshape the transatlantic order. The analysis builds on Wikistrat's Greenland scenarios report, published a year before the current crisis began.
January 23, 2026
China is waging a "lawn-mowing" war against Taiwan, applying constant pressure designed to paralyze decision-making through infiltration and gray zone operations. Wikistrat CEO Oren Kesler spoke with Taiwan's Central News Agency about why Taipei must stop wasting its "strategic Trump cards" on internal political fights and save them for moments that truly shift the game.
January 23, 2026
From military invasion to "creeping control," four scenarios are emerging for how the U.S. might assert dominance over Greenland. A Ukrainian news outlet breaks down each option, citing Wikistrat's analysis of a "free association" model that could be sold to Greenlanders as greater autonomy while effectively replacing Danish influence with American control over defense and foreign policy.
January 8, 2026
Could the U.S. actually buy Greenland? An analysis explores six ways the Trump administration's Arctic ambitions might play out, citing Wikistrat's scenarios report, including a long-term lease arrangement modeled on Britain's 99-year deal with Hong Kong, or a "minority shares" governance model where Washington assumes Denmark's $800 million in annual subsidies.
January 7, 2026
As Trump's Greenland threats send shockwaves through NATO, Europe is scrambling for a response. A recent analysis outlines three possible U.S. intervention scenarios, citing Wikistrat's assessment that a decades-long lease agreement, modeled on Britain's Hong Kong arrangement, could allow Washington to gain economic control while Greenland remains nominally self-governing.
January 7, 2026
After Maduro's capture by U.S. forces, Washington faces a paradox: working with the very regime it spent decades opposing. Wikistrat CEO Oren Kesler spoke with the Miami Herald about why this unlikely alliance could actually hold. The analysis builds on Wikistrat's recent strategic intelligence report examining potential Venezuela-U.S. realignment scenarios.
January 4, 2026
As 2025 unfolds, global risks are mounting: from the decline of U.S. leadership to rising economic warfare and AI-driven social challenges. With Trump’s return and fresh geopolitical tensions from Davos, the world faces heightened uncertainty. The ninth annual NYU-Wikistrat report, which crowdsourced insights from 132 analysts across 37 countries, highlights four key risks shaping the year ahead.
January 31, 2025
As the debate over Trump’s plan to acquire Greenland intensifies, a recent Wikistrat simulation offers a deeper look at how this geopolitical gamble could unfold. CEO Oren Kesler highlights scenarios from leasing deals to U.S. militarization, noting that an aggressive move could provoke Russia. Will this push reshape Arctic power dynamics or fade as political theater?
January 15, 2025
Sabotage threats to corporate supply chains are growing, as seen in the Hezbollah-linked pager explosion in Lebanon. Wikistrat CEO Oren Kessler urges stronger due diligence and crisis preparedness, warning, “A supply chain is only as strong as its weakest link.” With covert operations exploiting global commerce, businesses must adapt or risk exposure.
January 13, 2025
With tensions in the Middle East nearing a boiling point, a potential Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities looms. In a 2022 Wikistrat report that now seems more relevant than ever, 30 leading Iran and Middle East experts explore the downstream consequences of an Israeli military strike on Iran’s nuclear sites.
October 9, 2024
From power disperses in a post-superpower era to a mental health crisis exacerbated by AI: Prof. Maha Hosain Aziz shares invaluable insights from the annual Wikistrat-New York University simulations.
August 19, 2024
In May 2023, Wikistrat partnered with Upwork to run a simulation on the future of work in light of the ever-developing technologies, especially AI. In this, a multidisciplinary crowd of leading experts collaborated to share scenarios and ideas on how flexible workforce models would evolve by 2030.
January 18, 2024
Since 2017, Wikistrat has been partnering every year with NYU's "Political Risk and Prediction" course to explore various risks to global stability. These include political, geopolitical, economic, and social risks, as well as shock events. Read now about the events that may rock our post-pandemic world by 2025.
December 27, 2023
Once a year, New York University students collaborate with Wikistrat experts in order to explore the risks to global stability in the coming year. What are the political, geopolitical, economic, and social risks to watch for in 2023? Read their analysis now.
January 30, 2023
Russia has invested too much prestige in the war for its next leader to end it when they come into power, a team of experts has claimed.
September 18, 2022
What happens to Russia after Putin? Wikistrat's "Post-Putin Russia" simulation brought together leading experts, including RUSI's Mark Galeotti and Chatham House's Keir Giles, to explore the scenarios. Their consensus: China's grip on Russia will only tighten, potentially turning Moscow into a "North Korea situation" of complete economic dependency on Beijing.
September 3, 2022
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In light of the nuclear talks in Vienna, Wikistrat ran an interactive simulation with 30 leading Iran and Middle East experts in order to explore how an Israeli military strike on Iran’s nuclear sites would impact five key regional actors: Iran, Saudi Arabia, China, the US, and Russia.
February 13, 2022
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An Israeli strike against Iran could trigger normalization with Saudi Arabia. But that’s just one part of the far more precarious Middle East such an attack would birth, with China, Russia, and the U.S. forced to respond
February 16, 2022
What automation, AI, AR and robotics mean for the future of work in mining
idoba and Wikistrat have partnered in order to explore what changes and trends will shape the future of work and the workers in the mining industry, their impact, and ways to prepare for them in the upcoming decade.
October 24, 2021
Sandpit Innovation and Wikistrat have combined insights from 90 experts in innovation and disruptive technologies to predict the future of mining in 2030.
May 20, 2021
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Perth-based consulting firm Sandpit Innovation and global crowdsourcing platform Wikistrat published a report in which they explore the mining industry’s future in the age of social awareness.
April 26, 2021
A simulation by Wikistrat explored opportunities for Israel-Gulf relations in 2025 following the signing of a peace treaty between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
February 8, 2021
What will the international implications be if China and the United States continue to adopt extremely tough tones in their confrontation? In an effort to find answers to that question, Washington-based geo-strategic consulting company Wikistrat held an economic war game simulating a US embargo on high-tech trade and investment in China in 2021 under Donald Trump if he is re-elected for a second term as president of the United States.
June 18, 2020
Caught between Washington and Beijing, the UK's decision to allow Huawei into its 5G networks put a spotlight on Britain's balancing act in a multipolar world. Wikistrat researcher Federica Russo analyzed the economic stakes for CGTN, noting Huawei's £1.7 billion contribution to UK GDP and asking whether London can chart its own course or will ultimately bend toward American pressure.
February 9, 2020
According to Wikistrat’s CEO, Oren Kesler, “We continue to see growing demand from clients and consultancy partners alike, all seeking something different. These days, both governments and corporations want to be innovative and more creative in how they interact with vendors. And it just makes more sense to leverage some form of virtual crowdsourcing where talented professionals compete to think creatively about the future and brainstorm solutions"
January 30, 2020
Three of Wikistrat’s top experts weigh in on the significance of the death in Iraq of one of Iran’s most important military commanders
January 6, 2020
A Wikistrat interview with U.S. economist and leading China expert David P. Goldman (JNS).
July 17, 2019
Wikistrat sat down with Hudson Institute senior fellow and former U.S. intelligence officer Michael Pregent to get a deeper insight into U.S. policy options vis-à-vis Iran (JNS)
June 24, 2019
The era of one-stop shop consultancies is over. In a Financial Times feature on the rise of collaborative consulting, Deloitte highlighted its Pixel crowdsourcing platform, which connects teams and clients with specialized vendors, including Wikistrat, to tackle projects too complex for any single firm to handle alone.
December 6, 2016
Code-named "Deloitte Pixel" the service brings together new entrants in the strategy consulting space, including ex-McKinsey consultants 10EQS, Wikistrat, Topcoder and InCrowd under a global agreement (Financial Review).
May 24, 2016
Wikistrat asked its “crowd” -- including academics, private sector representatives, former law enforcement agents, and experts studying money laundering schemes and the Russian mafia -- to discuss crime scenarios of the future, and then vote on their likelihood.
September 11, 2015
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Last year, Wikistrat's analysts predicted that only a major geopolitical shock could trigger Pakistan's fourth military coup. That analysis, produced in collaboration with NYU graduate students through the WikistratxNYU Global Risk Prediction simulation, identified three scenarios that could push the army to intervene: a Kashmir crisis with India, a standoff with Afghanistan, or Uyghur terrorism destabilizing ties with China.
April 14, 2015
A consultancy is trying to out-forecast the world’s intelligence agencies (Financial Times)
September 3, 2014
McKinsey shouldn’t close up shop just yet. But if Wikistrat has its way, the future of geopolitical analysis will belong to the crowd (Fast Company).
December 6, 2013