Washington is ready to declare victory, but inside Iran the picture is far less conclusive. The regime has absorbed the worst of the air campaign, installed Khamenei's son as successor, and is already planning to rebuild its deterrent underground. The opposition is fragmented, the diaspora is discredited, and the ethnic fault lines that could reshape the country remain poorly understood. Ahmad Hashemi breaks down why the real strategic challenge begins the moment the bombing

Seven days into Operation Epic Fury, the expert community is divided. Wikistrat surveyed ten senior Iran specialists on regime stability, protest likelihood, and the prospects for regime change. The results reveal sharp fault lines, and a consistent signal: the longer this crisis runs, the harder it gets for the Islamic Republic to survive it. Download the report.

Six days into the U.S.-Israeli air campaign, the Islamic Republic is battered but functioning. Dr. Sina Azodi assesses the regime's resilience, the opposition's limitations, and why bombing alone has never produced regime change.