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WIKISTRAT INSIGHTS
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Is Taiwan the Next Ukraine? Scenarios for the Decade Ahead
Taiwan is not on the brink of a 2027 invasion; the real danger is unfolding quietly in the gray zone. Dr. Minxin Pei dismantles the countdown narrative, arguing Beijing's destabilizing tools are already in motion, from military drills to pressure on undersea cables. The flashpoint is 2028, when elections in Taipei, Washington, and the Philippines collide with a Chinese leadership refining hybrid warfare options that stop short of war yet carry strategic shockwaves.
Dec 14, 20253 min read


The Humanoid Tipping Point: A Disruption No One Is Ready For
Physical AI is ending 50 years of rigid robotics. Robots now understand intent, learn from each other via the cloud, and will soon cost less than a year's salary. Dr. Graham Ong-Webb maps out four scenarios for the decade ahead, from accelerated stability to chaotic tipping point, and warns that the real threat isn't the humanoids themselves, but the widening gap between technological capability and institutional readiness.
Dec 10, 20254 min read


Exploring the Geopolitics of Rare Earth Minerals
China dominates the processing and magnet making that power global clean energy and high tech industries, raising fears of overdependence as rare earths return to the geopolitical spotlight. In this webinar, Dr. Marina Zhang explains how China built its ecosystem, why alternatives remain costly, and what the next five years of supply, competition, and technology disruption may look like.
Dec 10, 20254 min read


Did We See It Coming? What a Decade of Crises Teaches Us About Prediction
Many of today's most destabilizing crises weren't sudden shocks. They were slow-burning trends we watched unfold in real time. At the 10th anniversary of NYU's Riskathon, Prof. Maha Hosain Aziz revisited predictions made a decade ago and measured them against our fractured present. Her sobering conclusion: the warning signs were visible all along. The question is whether we'll finally act on what foresight tells us before it's too late.
Dec 8, 20253 min read


Tehran at Crossroads: Where Is Iran’s Nuclear Strategy Heading?
Iran’s nuclear program is trapped between escalation, retreat, and a fragile status quo. In this webinar, Dr. Sina Azodi explains why Tehran views enrichment as essential, how succession politics and regional pressures shape its choices, and why time remains Iran’s most powerful tool. This analysis breaks down the forces driving Iran’s strategy and the scenarios that could define its next moves.
Nov 26, 20253 min read


Inside the Kremlin's Calculus: What's Really Driving Russia's War Strategy?
Russia expert Mark Galeotti joined Wikistrat to examine the Kremlin's actual objectives, the forces shaping Russian decision-making, whether Moscow's strategy is working, and what might force Putin to change course
Nov 6, 20253 min read


Future-Proofing: How Can Companies Survive Through Times of Political Uncertainty?
Amid intensifying geopolitical shocks and market shifts, how can companies not just survive but thrive? In a recent Wikistrat webinar, Prof. Benjamin Laker, an expert on leadership, shared lessons from past crises and today’s polycrisis world. From stress testing and rapid response to competitive leapfrogging and scenario planning, he revealed how adaptability and speed define which organizations stay ahead.
Oct 2, 20253 min read


Information Warfare in the 21st Century
Information warfare is entering a new era. From botnets and deepfakes to AI-driven influence, the tools have changed but the mission remains the same: shaping perceptions and undermining trust. In our September 9 webinar, Ari Ben Am of Telemetry Data Labs and FDD examined how today’s information operations target not only states but also the private sector, and what best, worst, and black swan futures could look like.
Sep 9, 20252 min read


From Pilot to Policy: Lessons from Four-Day Workweek Experiments
The four-day workweek is moving from bold experiment to serious policy debate. In a recent Wikistrat webinar, Professor Brendan Burchell of the University of Cambridge shared evidence from the UK’s groundbreaking 2022 trial and beyond. His research shows that shorter hours improve wellbeing, reduce turnover, and can even boost performance—while offering families new possibilities for balance and gender equality.
Sep 8, 20253 min read


Webinar: Agentic AI & the Future of Work
Agentic AI is transforming the future of work—reshaping how organizations operate, lead, and compete. In this session, White House AI Fellow Matthew Versaggi explores how cognitive agents are moving beyond automation to become reasoning, autonomous collaborators. From new leadership models to the urgent need for self-directed learning, discover what it takes to thrive in a world where machines are teammates, not just tools.
Jul 28, 20252 min read


China, Russia, and the Israel-Iran War: Cracks in the Axis?
As Israel and Iran traded blows, would Moscow and Beijing truly back Tehran if conflict escalated—or is the “Axis” narrative overstated? In a July 10 webinar, Dr. Richard Weitz examined China and Russia’s cautious reactions, the lessons learned, and what the limits of this partnership reveal. Despite rhetoric of solidarity, the Israel-Iran war exposed the transactional nature of the axis, raising questions about its resilience in a shifting global order.
Jul 11, 20252 min read


The War in Ukraine: Entering a New Phase?
As headlines fade, the Ukraine war grinds on with global stakes. In a Wikistrat webinar, Keir Giles of Chatham House argues the conflict is not entering a new phase but continuing a brutal war of attrition, with Russia’s imperial goals unchanged. Ukraine’s survival hinges on external support, while Europe remains unprepared for what comes next. Read key insights on what’s really shaping the future of this war.
Jul 5, 20253 min read


After the Ceasefire: What's Next for Israel-Iran?
Iran faces its most critical juncture since the Islamic Revolution. Following Israeli strikes on its nuclear and missile programs, Tehran must decide between restraint and escalation as succession looms and the IRGC gains influence. Dr. Raz Zimmt analyzes Iran’s next moves, from rebuilding deterrence to risking a nuclear breakout. Will Iran stabilize under pressure, or will it spiral into deeper conflict? The choices made now will shape the region’s future.
Jun 30, 20252 min read


The Israel-Iran Crisis: Assessing Future Scenarios
Following a 12-day war with Israel, Iran faces a turning point in its strategic and domestic trajectory. In this expert webinar, Dr. Sina Azodi analyzes the breakdown of Iran’s defense doctrine, rising influence of the IRGC, and the regime’s internal dilemma between repression and reform. With its nuclear program under pressure and regional alliances strained, Tehran must now choose between escalation, diplomacy, or deeper isolation.
Jun 25, 20253 min read


Syria in Flux - What Lies Ahead?
Six months after Assad’s fall, Syria faces a fragile transition led by former jihadist Ahmed al-Shara. In a recent webinar, Charles Lister examined the country’s uncertain path—balancing newfound international legitimacy with economic collapse, armed fragmentation, and regional tensions. Can Syria avoid renewed conflict and rebuild, or is the entire transition resting on a single man’s shoulders? Read key insights from the discussion.
Jun 24, 20253 min read


Expert Webinar: The Israel-Iran War
As Israel escalates strikes on Iran’s nuclear program, Tehran’s leadership faces a critical dilemma: preserve ideological purity or ensure regime survival. In a June 20 webinar, Dr. Saeid Golkar analyzed the regime’s internal calculations, elite fractures, and growing civilian unrest. He revealed why Iran’s leaders may prefer military defeat over political humiliation—and what this means for the region’s future.
Jun 20, 20252 min read


What’s Next for India-Pakistan Relations?
After the 2025 crisis shattered years of calm, India and Pakistan face a tense future. In a Wikistrat webinar, Michael Kugelman examines how rising nationalism, shifting alliances, and lower thresholds for escalation are reshaping this nuclear-armed rivalry. While open conflict has paused, the risk of renewed confrontation remains. Can cautious stability hold, or will the region slip back into crisis in the months ahead?
Jun 9, 20252 min read


AI & The Future of Work (in the Public Sector)
From automation to open talent, what does AI mean for leadership, talent, and public service?
Mar 23, 20253 min read


Trump 2.0 Foreign Policy: Goals, Drivers & Ideology
Trump 2.0 redefines U.S. global strategy, balancing economic power, geopolitical rivalry, and domestic priorities. What’s next for America?
Mar 18, 20252 min read


Implications of the German Elections
Germany’s election reshapes its global role—NATO, U.S. ties, Ukraine, and China. What’s next? Insights from Dr. Andreas Umland.
Mar 7, 20254 min read
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