What could reshape geopolitics in 2026? Wikistrat's latest report maps five wildcard scenarios: an IRGC coup in Iran, Chinese humanoids deployed in Ukraine, Pakistan's military forced to restore civilian rule, China's EUV breakthrough, and a U.S. Rust Belt revolt against automation. Not predictions, but stress tests for what's next.

Taiwan is not on the brink of a 2027 invasion; the real danger is unfolding quietly in the gray zone. Dr. Minxin Pei dismantles the countdown narrative, arguing Beijing's destabilizing tools are already in motion, from military drills to pressure on undersea cables. The flashpoint is 2028, when elections in Taipei, Washington, and the Philippines collide with a Chinese leadership refining hybrid warfare options that stop short of war yet carry strategic shockwaves.

Physical AI is ending 50 years of rigid robotics. Robots now understand intent, learn from each other via the cloud, and will soon cost less than a year's salary. Dr. Graham Ong-Webb maps out four scenarios for the decade ahead, from accelerated stability to chaotic tipping point, and warns that the real threat isn't the humanoids themselves, but the widening gap between technological capability and institutional readiness.

China dominates the processing and magnet making that power global clean energy and high tech industries, raising fears of overdependence as rare earths return to the geopolitical spotlight. In this webinar, Dr. Marina Zhang explains how China built its ecosystem, why alternatives remain costly, and what the next five years of supply, competition, and technology disruption may look like.

Iran’s nuclear program is trapped between escalation, retreat, and a fragile status quo. In this webinar, Dr. Sina Azodi explains why Tehran views enrichment as essential, how succession politics and regional pressures shape its choices, and why time remains Iran’s most powerful tool. This analysis breaks down the forces driving Iran’s strategy and the scenarios that could define its next moves.

What does Gaza teach China about Taiwan? As the Middle East ceasefire holds, Beijing draws critical lessons about U.S. alliance commitments and power projection. New analysis reveals how Chinese strategists use Gaza as a test case for understanding Washington's willingness to support Taiwan in a potential crisis.

A new Wikistrat report examines four scenarios for regime change in Venezuela and their downstream consequences

Russia expert Mark Galeotti joined Wikistrat to examine the Kremlin's actual objectives, the forces shaping Russian decision-making, whether Moscow's strategy is working, and what might force Putin to change course

Information warfare is entering a new era. From botnets and deepfakes to AI-driven influence, the tools have changed but the mission remains the same: shaping perceptions and undermining trust. In our September 9 webinar, Ari Ben Am of Telemetry Data Labs and FDD examined how today’s information operations target not only states but also the private sector, and what best, worst, and black swan futures could look like.

As Israel and Iran traded blows, would Moscow and Beijing truly back Tehran if conflict escalated—or is the “Axis” narrative overstated? In a July 10 webinar, Dr. Richard Weitz examined China and Russia’s cautious reactions, the lessons learned, and what the limits of this partnership reveal. Despite rhetoric of solidarity, the Israel-Iran war exposed the transactional nature of the axis, raising questions about its resilience in a shifting global order.

As headlines fade, the Ukraine war grinds on with global stakes. In a Wikistrat webinar, Keir Giles of Chatham House argues the conflict is not entering a new phase but continuing a brutal war of attrition, with Russia’s imperial goals unchanged. Ukraine’s survival hinges on external support, while Europe remains unprepared for what comes next. Read key insights on what’s really shaping the future of this war.

Iran faces its most critical juncture since the Islamic Revolution. Following Israeli strikes on its nuclear and missile programs, Tehran must decide between restraint and escalation as succession looms and the IRGC gains influence. Dr. Raz Zimmt analyzes Iran’s next moves, from rebuilding deterrence to risking a nuclear breakout. Will Iran stabilize under pressure, or will it spiral into deeper conflict? The choices made now will shape the region’s future.

Following a 12-day war with Israel, Iran faces a turning point in its strategic and domestic trajectory. In this expert webinar, Dr. Sina Azodi analyzes the breakdown of Iran’s defense doctrine, rising influence of the IRGC, and the regime’s internal dilemma between repression and reform. With its nuclear program under pressure and regional alliances strained, Tehran must now choose between escalation, diplomacy, or deeper isolation.

Six months after Assad’s fall, Syria faces a fragile transition led by former jihadist Ahmed al-Shara. In a recent webinar, Charles Lister examined the country’s uncertain path—balancing newfound international legitimacy with economic collapse, armed fragmentation, and regional tensions. Can Syria avoid renewed conflict and rebuild, or is the entire transition resting on a single man’s shoulders? Read key insights from the discussion.

Israel's June 13, 2025 strike on Iran—Operation Rising Lion—marked a turning point in Middle East security, targeting nuclear facilities, IRGC leadership, and missile infrastructure. In this report, Wikistrat analyzes the operation’s objectives, strategic timing, and regional implications, including the collapse of nuclear negotiations and the risk of wider conflict. Read the full report for expert insights and forward-looking scenarios.

After the 2025 crisis shattered years of calm, India and Pakistan face a tense future. In a Wikistrat webinar, Michael Kugelman examines how rising nationalism, shifting alliances, and lower thresholds for escalation are reshaping this nuclear-armed rivalry. While open conflict has paused, the risk of renewed confrontation remains. Can cautious stability hold, or will the region slip back into crisis in the months ahead?

Trump 2.0 redefines U.S. global strategy, balancing economic power, geopolitical rivalry, and domestic priorities. What’s next for America?

Germany’s election reshapes its global role—NATO, U.S. ties, Ukraine, and China. What’s next? Insights from Dr. Andreas Umland.

Trump's foreign policy is reshaping alliances, trade, and diplomacy. Is it strengthening U.S. leverage or risking global instability?

Wikistrat’s latest report outlines 4 scenarios for U.S. control of Greenland, exploring impacts on Arctic strategy, NATO, and global power.