What could reshape geopolitics in 2026? Wikistrat's latest report maps five wildcard scenarios: an IRGC coup in Iran, Chinese humanoids deployed in Ukraine, Pakistan's military forced to restore civilian rule, China's EUV breakthrough, and a U.S. Rust Belt revolt against automation. Not predictions, but stress tests for what's next.

Iran faces its worst water crisis in modern history. Reservoirs near Tehran have fallen to single-digit capacity, triggering rationing and official warnings of potential evacuation. This strategic risk assessment analyzes how water scarcity will reshape Iran's stability and regional posture through 2029, examining protest flashpoints, subsidence threats, Helmand River tensions with Afghanistan, and the governance failures turning environmental stress into political crisis.

What does Gaza teach China about Taiwan? As the Middle East ceasefire holds, Beijing draws critical lessons about U.S. alliance commitments and power projection. New analysis reveals how Chinese strategists use Gaza as a test case for understanding Washington's willingness to support Taiwan in a potential crisis.

A new Wikistrat report examines four scenarios for regime change in Venezuela and their downstream consequences

North Korea's Lazarus Group has evolved from cybercriminals to strategic state actors, stealing $1.5 billion in 2024 to fund 40% of the regime's military budget. A new Wikistrat report reveals how 8,400 hackers operating from China and Russia use AI-powered deception and fake identities to infiltrate companies, launder money through Russian networks, and challenge traditional economic warfare.

Israel's June 13, 2025 strike on Iran—Operation Rising Lion—marked a turning point in Middle East security, targeting nuclear facilities, IRGC leadership, and missile infrastructure. In this report, Wikistrat analyzes the operation’s objectives, strategic timing, and regional implications, including the collapse of nuclear negotiations and the risk of wider conflict. Read the full report for expert insights and forward-looking scenarios.

Wikistrat’s latest report outlines 4 scenarios for U.S. control of Greenland, exploring impacts on Arctic strategy, NATO, and global power.

As 2025 begins, wildcard scenarios loom, threatening to upend the status quo and reshape global dynamics in unpredictable ways.

Trump’s return reshapes U.S.-Taiwan ties: high stakes, gray-zone tensions, and opportunities to deepen defense and economic collaboration.

As the Israel-Hamas war rages on, a new Wikistrat report provides an analysis of four potential trajectories for Gaza by 2026, weighing...

This month will mark one year since the start of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. In a recent simulation, Wikistrat experts explored the...

The Russian invasion of Ukraine, followed by President Xi’s further consolidation of power in the 20th National Congress of the Chinese...

A war in Europe, rising inflation rates, and social turmoil are some of the events that we have witnessed in 2022. But what lies ahead in...

Shortly after its invasion of Ukraine, Russia cut off gas supplies to most of Europe, plunging the continent into the most severe energy...

On October 7, the Biden administration imposed a sweeping set of export controls that included measures to cut China off from certain...

The death of 22-year-old Kurdish woman Jina Mahsa Amini on September 16 sparked demonstrations and violent crackdowns on the streets of...

In a televised address to the Russian people on September 21, Putin explicitly raised the specter of a nuclear conflict. Despite being...

The past few days have witnessed dramatic changes in the war in Ukraine. In a lightning counter-offensive, Ukrainian forces have captured...

The Russian invasion of Ukraine, which began on February 24, has quickly turned out to be one of the most important geopolitical events...

In light of the nuclear talks in Vienna, Wikistrat ran an interactive simulation with 30 leading Iran and Middle East experts in order to...