Since the outbreak of COVID-19 in late December 2019, relations between the United States and China have increasingly deteriorated. Adding to that are the recent events in Hong Kong, increased tensions over the sale of weapons to Taiwan, and the growing bipartisan consensus in Washington that the United States must protect domestic industries to retain a technological edge.
To assess the potential evolution of these relations, Wikistrat is running an interactive economic wargame from June 8 to June 12, in which 40 of the world’s leading experts on China will explore how China and the US respond to an extreme case scenario.
In this scenario, the US in the year 2021, under President Trump, imposes an embargo on high-technology trade and investment with China.
The simulation will run online, via a customized virtual platform that we have prepared for the simulation.
The simulation will have three rounds, running across a period of five days. Each round will last 24 hours. The idea is to provide participants with the maximum flexibility on when to participate during the day. So, you can log in at any time of the day, for as long as you want.
Participants will be divided into two teams: the US and China. Each participant will be playing a key figure in the US or Chinese government and will be able to raise ideas for strategies.
During each round, each team will be presented with a scenario and asked to provide a policy response for their actor. Each response will include a brief of the policy, its goals, rationale, and potential unintended consequences.
At the end of the round, the team members will vote on the policy they wish their actor to take.
Insights from Rounds 1&2:
40 of the world's top experts on the US and China will be participating
*the scenario is fictional, yet realistic, but does not serve as a prediction.