For the 8th consecutive year, Wikistrat is partnering with the "Political Risk and Prediction" course to launch the "Global Risks" 2024 edition – an interactive simulation in which the graduate students collaborate with Wikistrat experts to explore the risks to global stability in the coming year. This year, graduate students from the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) also join the simulation as part of the "Political Risk Analysis" course.
Given current trends and possible shock events, what will be the likely risks (i.e. threats to stability) globally in 2024—a post-pandemic era shaped by multiple wars, climate change, emergent technology and the US presidential election?
For instance, where might we see a major conflict surface—or an existing war escalate? Will we see a resurgence in extremist attacks—if so, where? Where will a government be brought down by angry citizen protesters? Where might we witness major climate events or more climate refugees emerging? And will we see a familiar face return to the White House?
From December 4 to 11, Wikistrat will once again partner with NYU to predict the key risks for the coming year. 65 Wikistrat experts, 10 NYU graduate students and 7 RSIS graduate students will participate in a community-wide simulation, where they will identify geopolitical, political, economic and social risks, explain how they may cause instability, decide plausibility and consider potential shock events. Afterward, participants will vote on different scenarios that might impact global stability in 2024.
The findings of this two-phase simulation will subsequently lead to a top 10 list for 2024 global risks, which will be written by Wikistrat Lead Analyst and NYU MA IR professor and author Dr. Maha Hosain Aziz, with support from the grad students in her Political Risk & Prediction course.
If you would like to participate in this simulation, please use this link to register:
In the meantime, feel free to check out the results from last year’s NYU-Wikistrat simulation.