The joint NYU-Wikistrat simulation, which will run from November 30 to December 11, aims to predict the key risks to global stability in 2021, accounting for the unique challenges presented by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Given current trends and possible shock events, what will be the likely risks – threats to stability – globally in 2021? Wikistrat experts, Lead Analyst and NYU MA in IR Professor Maha Hosain Aziz, and grad students in her Political Risk & Prediction course aimed to map out this question.
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For instance, will we suffer from a global depression? Will ISIS or far-right extremists make a comeback? Will the Biden presidency in a post-Trump era have ripple effects on the world order? Where in the world might we see a major conflict or war in 2021?
This is a community-wide Wikistrat simulation in partnership with NYU, aiming to predict the key risks to global stability in 2021 in a COVID-19 world. Participants will be asked to Identify a geopolitical, political, economic, or social risk, explaining how it might cause notable instability in the coming year and including source material. They will also be asked to consider possible shock events that may impact stability.
The findings will lead to a top 10 list for 2021 Global Risks, which will be written by Wikistrat Lead Analyst and NYU MA in IR Professor Maha Hosain Aziz, with support from the grad students in her Political Risk & Prediction course. Check out the NYU - Wikistrat list from last year.