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WIKISTRAT INSIGHTS
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From Humanoid Soldiers to an IRGC Coup: 5 Wildcard Scenarios That Could Redefine 2026
What could reshape geopolitics in 2026? Wikistrat's latest report maps five wildcard scenarios: an IRGC coup in Iran, Chinese humanoids deployed in Ukraine, Pakistan's military forced to restore civilian rule, China's EUV breakthrough, and a U.S. Rust Belt revolt against automation. Not predictions, but stress tests for what's next.
Dec 22, 20251 min read


The Humanoid Tipping Point: A Disruption No One Is Ready For
Physical AI is ending 50 years of rigid robotics. Robots now understand intent, learn from each other via the cloud, and will soon cost less than a year's salary. Dr. Graham Ong-Webb maps out four scenarios for the decade ahead, from accelerated stability to chaotic tipping point, and warns that the real threat isn't the humanoids themselves, but the widening gap between technological capability and institutional readiness.
Dec 10, 20254 min read


Did We See It Coming? What a Decade of Crises Teaches Us About Prediction
Many of today's most destabilizing crises weren't sudden shocks. They were slow-burning trends we watched unfold in real time. At the 10th anniversary of NYU's Riskathon, Prof. Maha Hosain Aziz revisited predictions made a decade ago and measured them against our fractured present. Her sobering conclusion: the warning signs were visible all along. The question is whether we'll finally act on what foresight tells us before it's too late.
Dec 8, 20253 min read


The Lazarus Group: Review and Scenarios for North Korea’s Flagship Cyber Force
North Korea's Lazarus Group has evolved from cybercriminals to strategic state actors, stealing $1.5 billion in 2024 to fund 40% of the regime's military budget. A new Wikistrat report reveals how 8,400 hackers operating from China and Russia use AI-powered deception and fake identities to infiltrate companies, launder money through Russian networks, and challenge traditional economic warfare.
Sep 18, 20251 min read
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