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WIKISTRAT INSIGHTS
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Is Taiwan the Next Ukraine? Scenarios for the Decade Ahead
Taiwan is not on the brink of a 2027 invasion; the real danger is unfolding quietly in the gray zone. Dr. Minxin Pei dismantles the countdown narrative, arguing Beijing's destabilizing tools are already in motion, from military drills to pressure on undersea cables. The flashpoint is 2028, when elections in Taipei, Washington, and the Philippines collide with a Chinese leadership refining hybrid warfare options that stop short of war yet carry strategic shockwaves.
Dec 14, 20253 min read


Iran's Water Crisis: Strategic Assessment 2025-2029
Iran faces its worst water crisis in modern history. Reservoirs near Tehran have fallen to single-digit capacity, triggering rationing and official warnings of potential evacuation. This strategic risk assessment analyzes how water scarcity will reshape Iran's stability and regional posture through 2029, examining protest flashpoints, subsidence threats, Helmand River tensions with Afghanistan, and the governance failures turning environmental stress into political crisis.
Dec 11, 20251 min read


The Humanoid Tipping Point: A Disruption No One Is Ready For
Physical AI is ending 50 years of rigid robotics. Robots now understand intent, learn from each other via the cloud, and will soon cost less than a year's salary. Dr. Graham Ong-Webb maps out four scenarios for the decade ahead, from accelerated stability to chaotic tipping point, and warns that the real threat isn't the humanoids themselves, but the widening gap between technological capability and institutional readiness.
Dec 10, 20254 min read
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